Performance

The discretionary record, indexed from 1000 at its first trade.

1,0001,0101,0201,030
10 Jul17 Jul24 Jul31 Jul7 Aug
Index, 2026-07-10 to 2026-08-07. Base 1000 at the first discretionary trade.
1030.15index, from 1000
+3.01%return
28days
0.92%max drawdown

Supernova Capital Management is not a fund. It is not open to investment, it holds no client money, and this is the firm's own account.

Past results do not guarantee future performance. 28 days is a short record, shown because it is what exists rather than because it is sufficient. It is not annualised and it does not confirm the target return.

Account basis: not published. Nothing here should be read as a claim about live capital until it is.

Earlier trades on the same account came from an automated strategy that has been retired; they are excluded, so this shows the discretionary method alone.

The instrument behind it
2021 – 2026point-in-time market history
63,276archived BTC bars, 1H / 4H / 1D
1,035historical setups in the ranking bank
1,327automated checks on the codebase

Those count the machinery, not the money. Most hypotheses tested here are rejected, and the rejections are kept — a record that shows only the survivors is not a record.

Return
Capital at risk. SUPERNOVA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT · UNITED KINGDOM